Confidence increases faster than accuracy
Confidence increases faster than accuracy. "The trouble with too much information," Robinson told me, "is you can't reason with it." It only feeds confirmation bias. We ignore additional information that doesn't agree with our assessment, and gain confidence from additional information that does.
— from True North (Ethics, Integrity, Truth, Values)
In the book
Remember that the crowd agreeing with you doesn't make you right, and the crowd disagreeing doesn't make you wrong — you are right only if your facts and your reasoning are right. And watch the trap of information: confidence grows faster than accuracy, and a flood of facts mostly feeds the bias you already had. Approach every disagreement as someone who wishes to learn and discover the truth, not as someone whose aim is to win a wordy victory. — True North (Ethics, Integrity, Truth, Values)
Also belongs to
- The Instruments (Awareness/Perception/Expectations)
- The Mind in the Cockpit
- Decisions & Choices (Decision/Choice/Focus/Forethought/Consequences)