the level of risk your experience in any given…

Page 123 the level of risk your experience in any given situation is unique to you. While speaking in front of a group is a risk to some people, it’s not risky to others at all. Ask yourself– What are the potential costs what are the potential benefits? How will this help me to achieve my goal? What are the alternatives? How good would it be in the best case scenario came true? What is the worst thing that would happen and how would I reduce the risk to occur? How bad would it be if the worst case scenario did come true, how much will the decision matter in five years,

— from Decisions & Choices (Decision/Choice/Focus/Forethought/Consequences) · 13 things mentally strong people don’t do written by Amy Moran.

In the book

How good is the best case — and how bad is the worst, and could I get back here if it came true? And the one I lean on most: how much will this even matter in five years? When the outcome is truly uncertain, stop pretending you can know it and think in probabilities instead: start from the base rate, the plain odds, and revise as each new fact arrives; hold many possible outcomes in mind, not just the one you hope for; and play each alternative forward in your mind, to its end, before you choose. A few simple habits sharpen all of this. […] Then ask: must I decide now? If yes, trust your trained gut; if no, gather and wait — but avoid paralysis, and remember that not deciding is itself a decision. Weigh it honestly. Run the costs, benefits, alternatives, and worst case — can I get back here? — and ask whether it will matter in five years. Think in probabilities and simulations when the outcome is uncertain, prefer the simplest solution, and average independent judgments to cut the noise. — Decisions & Choices (Decision/Choice/Focus/Forethought/Consequences)

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