confirmation Bass, supplements, another idea from social psychology, belief…
Page 190 confirmation Bass, supplements, another idea from social psychology, belief, perseverance, a sister, sort of motivational reasoning. In one provocative experiment, a Stanford research team led by Craig Anderson invited students to consider whether risk takers make good or bad firefighters. Half view cases of venturesome of ventures, some person, succeeding as a firefighter, and cautious person, not succeeding the other, half viewed the reverse. After the students form, their conclusion, the researchers as them to explain it of course, one group reflected, risk takers are braver. To the other group the opposite exclamation seemed to equally obvious cautious people have fewer accidents.
— from The Mind in the Cockpit
In the book
From it grow the familiar distortions. There is confirmation bias and belief perseverance — we notice what agrees with us and quietly discard what doesn't, and a belief, once formed, clings on long after the facts have left. There is base-rate neglect, ignoring the plain odds in favor of the vivid story in front of us. — The Mind in the Cockpit