Naturally, we do not know which of our beliefs…

Naturally, we do not know which of our beliefs are incorrect, and that is OK. It only becomes a problem when we act as if all of our beliefs are true representations of the world-in other words, when we underestimate our uncertainty and overestimate our information and knowledge.

— from The Mind in the Cockpit

In the book

Your beliefs together form a map, and the only question that finally matters about a map is whether it matches the ground. The humbling fact is that some of yours are certainly wrong — you just don't yet know which, and that is fine, so long as you stay willing to be shown. Even optimism, rightly understood, is only a belief — a working bet that the odds of a good outcome are, over time, in your favor; and a low ceiling on what you think yourself capable of is just as much a belief, and just as movable. — The Mind in the Cockpit

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