keyword belief the equivalent bet test
Page 85 keyword thought keyword belief the equivalent bet test. Using bets are meant to generate a qualitative sense of your confidence in a belief. Do you feel happy to take the bet without hesitating? Do you feel a little bit of doubt? Or do you feel truly torn? You're hesitation, or lack thereof, is a proxy for your degree of confidence that your belief is true.
— from The Mind in the Cockpit